Monday, July 20, 2015


The President has formally submitted the Iranian nuclear limitation treaty to the Congress for its consideration. The argument that will follow will be fascinating to hear for a couple of reasons. The first has to do with the substance of the treaty, which is the easy part. Various congressional representatives can ask nuclear arms experts about this detail or that detail. It is highly unlikely that anything they find out anything that will change any opinions because of the intense detail already paid to those details by the world’s most knowledgeable people. That aside, the interesting part of the Congressional debate will be due to political maneuvering. Business interests most of us will not understand are certain to pay a big part in this aspect of the discussions. The subject of the amount of oil that will appear on the world market for example and the impact on prices will be on top of the list. Almost everyone understands the treaty is multinational, which means the terms of the treaty fails if we as a nation do not sign on. The sanctions that now control the Iranian arms race will collapse because we are only one of the six nations. We may adhere to the no-trade provision of the sanctions, but business interests from the other five will step in and enjoy the benefits of full trade with Iran. In that case, they and Iran will obviously benefit, and Israel and the United States will be the only one's suffering. The strong Israeli lobby in the Untied States will work to prevent our Congress from approving the treaty to protect Israeli interests but it should be obvious that is the wrong thing to do. The only way for Israel to gain is to approve the treaty even if Netanyahu thinks it is a bad treaty. URL: Comments Invited and not moderated

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